Worksop Town vs Grimsby Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
99
1º
16º
1º
49
6º
20º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
41 | 41 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
40 | 40 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 21 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worksop Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
WOR
3 - 1
CON
73%
15%
13%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 2
WOR
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 2
WOR
26%
23%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GAI
0 - 1
WOR
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LON
0 - 1
WOR
53%
20%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grimsby Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 0
GBO
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GBO
1 - 0
TAD
84%
10%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OUF
3 - 1
GBO
23%
21%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 2
GBO
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GBO
1 - 4
SHE
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |