Worksop Parramore vs Mossley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worksop Parramore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 1
WOR
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
WOR
2 - 0
BPO
3%
9%
88%
|
13 | 69 | 56 | +2 |
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 1
WOR
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MOS
2 - 3
CUR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OSS
3 - 3
MOS
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
WAK
1 - 1
MOS
14%
20%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MOS
1 - 3
KEN
56%
21%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |