Workington vs Whitby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 1
SKE
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
DAR
4 - 0
WOR
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
NAN
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
STA
1 - 2
WOR
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 1
WHI
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Whitby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 2
BLY
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
MAT
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
RAM
4 - 1
WHI
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RUS
3 - 1
WHI
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
0 - 3
HYD
59%
21%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |