Workington vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LEE
1 - 3
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2019 |
TAD
0 - 1
WOR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 0
TAD
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 1
DRO
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 1
WOR
39%
24%
38%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
PON
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
RAM
3 - 4
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 1
MAR
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 0
MOS
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |