Wörgl vs Bad Bleiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
BBL
0 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
WOR
0 - 1
LBN
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
MAT
0 - 0
WOR
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
VIE
2 - 2
WOR
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2000 |
WOR
1 - 3
FCK
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Bleiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
BBL
0 - 0
WOR
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
UNT
3 - 1
BBL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2000 |
BBL
4 - 1
VIE
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
SCA
1 - 1
BBL
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2000 |
BBL
2 - 0
WAT
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |