Conference North Round 32

Worcester City vs Guiseley analysis

Worcester City Guiseley
49 ELO 54
-14.3% Tilt -15.1%
9311º General ELO ranking 5193º
442º Country ELO ranking 161º
ELO win probability
27.4%
Worcester City
26.1%
Draw
46.5%
Guiseley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
Worcester City
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.5%
Win probability
Guiseley
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Worcester City
-3%
-30%
Guiseley

ELO progression

Worcester City
Guiseley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Worcester City
Worcester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2015
CHO
Chorley
3 - 3
Worcester City
WOR
59%
23%
18%
49 52 3 0
24 Feb. 2015
WOR
Worcester City
1 - 4
Solihull Moors
SOL
48%
26%
27%
50 46 4 -1
21 Feb. 2015
WOR
Worcester City
2 - 0
Stockport County
STO
48%
26%
26%
49 47 2 +1
14 Feb. 2015
COL
Colwyn Bay
0 - 2
Worcester City
WOR
30%
27%
44%
49 37 12 0
31 Jan. 2015
NOR
North Ferriby United
3 - 0
Worcester City
WOR
63%
22%
16%
50 53 3 -1

Matches

Guiseley
Guiseley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2015
SOL
Solihull Moors
0 - 1
Guiseley
GUI
29%
25%
45%
54 48 6 0
24 Feb. 2015
GUI
Guiseley
1 - 2
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
68%
19%
13%
54 42 12 0
21 Feb. 2015
GUI
Guiseley
2 - 0
Boston United
BOS
58%
23%
19%
54 49 5 0
14 Feb. 2015
GUI
Guiseley
0 - 2
Hednesford Town
HED
54%
23%
23%
55 51 4 -1
10 Feb. 2015
GUI
Guiseley
3 - 1
Fylde
FYL
45%
25%
31%
54 54 0 +1