Worcester City vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WOR
2 - 0
BRA
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 1
HAL
28%
26%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 2
WOR
66%
20%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 3
WOR
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
WOR
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 2
GLO
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
WOR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
GLO
1 - 0
BOS
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 1
CHE
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GLO
0 - 2
LEY
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |