Worcester City vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 3
BOS
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HAL
5 - 0
WOR
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
WOR
0 - 1
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TOW
3 - 1
WOR
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 2
BIS
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
HIN
0 - 2
GAI
13%
20%
68%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
3 - 1
GAI
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GAI
2 - 1
WRE
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |