FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 3-5
Royal Wootton vs Ardley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royal Wootton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
THO
0 - 4
WOO
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WOO
1 - 2
OXF
10%
15%
76%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
2 - 2
WOO
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DID
1 - 2
WOO
72%
16%
11%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
WOO
2 - 2
CHI
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
0 - 2
ARL
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ARD
2 - 0
ASH
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
ARD
55%
20%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
ARD
0 - 0
EDT
30%
21%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HIG
3 - 0
ARD
46%
22%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |