Premier League Round 4

Wolves vs Bury analysis

Wolves Bury
75 ELO 79
3.6% Tilt 11.5%
99º General ELO ranking 3450º
17º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
56.1%
Wolves
21%
Draw
22.9%
Bury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
Wolves
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.9%
Win probability
Bury
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wolves
+3%
-3%
Bury

ELO progression

Wolves
Bury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wolves
Wolves
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1905
WOL
Wolves
1 - 2
Stoke City
STO
54%
21%
25%
75 79 4 0
04 Sep. 1905
WOL
Wolves
0 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
43%
24%
34%
75 84 9 0
02 Sep. 1905
NTT
Nottingham Forest
3 - 1
Wolves
WOL
66%
17%
17%
76 78 2 -1
27 Apr. 1905
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Wolves
WOL
78%
14%
9%
76 87 11 0
24 Apr. 1905
WOL
Wolves
0 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
39%
25%
36%
77 86 9 -1

Matches

Bury
Bury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1905
BCF
Bury
2 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
49%
24%
27%
79 84 5 0
02 Sep. 1905
DER
Derby County
3 - 1
Bury
BCF
70%
16%
14%
79 80 1 0
22 Apr. 1905
BCF
Bury
2 - 3
Aston Villa
ASV
37%
24%
39%
79 87 8 0
21 Apr. 1905
BCF
Bury
2 - 0
Notts County
NOT
77%
14%
9%
79 71 8 0
15 Apr. 1905
STO
Stoke City
2 - 0
Bury
BCF
62%
19%
19%
79 77 2 0