Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
WOL
0 - 1
BLA
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 3
WOL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +3 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NWS
1 - 0
WOL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
WOL
2 - 1
MDT
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
SYD
2 - 2
WOL
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
API
2 - 0
SYD
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
STG
0 - 0
API
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SUT
0 - 2
API
7%
14%
79%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
API
0 - 2
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
1 - 2
API
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |