Bundesliga . Jor. 28

Wolfsburg vs Mainz 05 analysis

Wolfsburg Mainz 05
81 ELO 77
-5.5% Tilt -0.1%
114º General ELO ranking 168º
11º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
53.5%
Wolfsburg
25.1%
Draw
21.4%
Mainz 05

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Wolfsburg
-8%
+10%
Mainz 05

ELO progression

Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2007
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
51%
25%
24%
81 84 3 0
17 Mar. 2007
WOL
Wolfsburg
3 - 1
VfL Bochum
RTV
48%
25%
27%
80 78 2 +1
10 Mar. 2007
STU
Stuttgart
0 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
53%
25%
22%
80 86 6 0
03 Mar. 2007
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
53%
25%
22%
80 76 4 0
27 Feb. 2007
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
48%
25%
28%
80 77 3 0

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2007
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 3
B. Leverkusen
LEV
29%
25%
46%
78 85 7 0
18 Mar. 2007
BRE
Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
77%
15%
8%
78 89 11 0
10 Mar. 2007
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
54%
24%
22%
78 76 2 0
04 Mar. 2007
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
2 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
51%
25%
24%
78 76 2 0
24 Feb. 2007
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
40%
25%
35%
78 82 4 0
X