Wismut Gera vs SV 1899 Merseburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wismut Gera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WIS
4 - 1
ILE
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
WIS
0 - 3
UNI
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
WIS
20%
19%
61%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EIK
3 - 0
WIS
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 3
WIS
19%
19%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SVM
0 - 1
SCH
90%
8%
3%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 3
SVM
31%
21%
48%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
VFB
1 - 0
SVM
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SVM
4 - 1
LAS
16%
23%
60%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ASB
4 - 1
SVM
18%
19%
64%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |