UCL Qualifying Third Stage Final
Global 1-4
Wisla Kraków vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
WIS
2 - 1
GKS
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
POL
0 - 2
WIS
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 0
WIS
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WIS
1 - 0
TSP
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
WIS
5 - 0
BEI
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
FCB
4 - 0
WIS
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 5
FCB
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
FCB
2 - 3
MLL
65%
20%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
50%
23%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FCB
6 - 0
VCF
65%
21%
14%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |