Winterthur vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
LAC
0 - 2
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 0
LOC
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 0
DEL
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
LOC
4 - 2
WIN
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
THU
4 - 4
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
LAU
3 - 1
THU
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
ZUR
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
SIO
5 - 0
THU
56%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |