Winterthur vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHI
4 - 1
WIN
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
SCA
19%
21%
60%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GCZ
3 - 1
WIN
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
5 - 1
YFJ
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
STG
4 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
ZUR
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
THU
5 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
SER
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
WIN
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LEM
0 - 2
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |