Winterthur vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
WIN
3 - 0
YOB
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
WAN
1 - 1
WIN
19%
25%
56%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
WIL
2 - 2
WIN
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
WIN
3 - 2
LOC
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
BAD
1 - 5
WIN
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
FCL
1 - 1
LUG
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
SIO
3 - 0
FCL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 2
SER
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
LAU
1 - 2
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
FCL
0 - 2
ZUR
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |