Winterthur vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
WIN
3 - 1
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
LOC
2 - 4
WIN
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
WIN
2 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
THU
3 - 3
WIN
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
WIN
2 - 4
BAD
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
FCV
1 - 3
LOC
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2001 |
FCV
3 - 3
NKV
22%
23%
54%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
CON
3 - 5
FCV
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2001 |
FCV
4 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
FCV
3 - 2
WIL
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |