Wingate & Finchley vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
HEY
1 - 2
WIN
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
RED
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
WIN
1 - 1
EAS
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
LFC
1 - 1
WIN
24%
25%
51%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 2
TIL
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
WAR
1 - 3
WAL
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
WAR
3 - 3
ENF
22%
22%
57%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LOW
2 - 3
WAR
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
WAR
0 - 3
CON
26%
23%
52%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
WAR
3 - 2
ILF
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |