Wingate & Finchley vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
49.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
NOR
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
EAS
1 - 4
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ILF
0 - 0
WIN
46%
26%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 0
WIN
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 1
BRE
32%
25%
44%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
ENF
2 - 1
WAR
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
WHI
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 2
WAR
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 0
ILF
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LFC
2 - 3
WAR
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |