Wingate & Finchley vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
4 - 0
BUR
48%
22%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
0 - 0
WIN
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 4
WIN
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
3 - 4
LEI
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIN
5 - 0
BIL
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
TON
2 - 0
LEW
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
TON
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PEA
4 - 1
TON
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TON
4 - 1
VCD
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TON
0 - 0
HAV
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |