Wingate & Finchley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 1
POT
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
WIN
4 - 0
LFC
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 4
NOR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
WIN
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TIL
2 - 1
RED
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
EAS
5 - 2
TIL
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 2
EAS
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
0 - 2
HEY
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 0
MAL
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |