Wingate & Finchley vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
2 - 1
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 0
VCD
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 2
MET
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 0
WIN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 2
HAV
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 2
SLO
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
ENF
3 - 1
MAR
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
LEA
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
KIN
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
HEN
3 - 2
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |