Wingate & Finchley vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
WIN
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
POT
0 - 0
WIN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BRI
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
WIN
4 - 1
ENF
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +5 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 3
BRI
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BIS
0 - 0
HOR
71%
18%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
CRA
52%
22%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
KIN
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |