Wingate & Finchley vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
UXB
2 - 1
WIN
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BAE
3 - 2
WIN
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
WIN
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BEA
1 - 3
EAS
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2004 |
BEA
3 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
BAE
0 - 1
BEA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BEA
1 - 1
MAL
33%
25%
43%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
FAF
3 - 0
BEA
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |