Wingate & Finchley vs Baldock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 1
KIN
14%
19%
66%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BOW
3 - 1
WIN
66%
18%
17%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 6
WIN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
4 - 1
WIN
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
BAL
27%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
HAD
3 - 1
BAL
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 0
WIS
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LEI
3 - 1
BAL
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 1
GRA
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |