Wingate & Finchley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 0
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 5
MAL
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
RED
1 - 0
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 3
AVE
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
YEL
1 - 0
WAL
80%
13%
7%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 1
YEL
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
WAR
1 - 2
YEL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
YEL
50%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
YEL
3 - 0
BRE
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |