Wingate & Finchley vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
AVE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
BIL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
3 - 2
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 0
KIN
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 1
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
HOR
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |