Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
4 - 3
WAK
37%
21%
42%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
WAK
4 - 1
MAC
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WAK
2 - 1
LAI
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
WAK
1 - 1
CHF
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 4
WAK
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MCA
9 - 2
LAI
63%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
7 - 2
CHF
62%
18%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BEN
6 - 0
MCA
55%
19%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
MCA
2 - 0
KLM
59%
18%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |