Wimborne Town vs Malvern Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
45.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
4º
1º
47
8º
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
69% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 62 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 54 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 44 |
14º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 41 |
17º
|
68% | |
|
17º
|
34 | 35 |
18º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
33 | 34 |
19º
|
72% | |
|
19º
|
26 | 27 |
20º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
86% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wimborne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PAU
0 - 2
WIM
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WIM
0 - 0
PAU
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
WIM
1 - 1
EXM
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BIS
2 - 5
WIM
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 1
WIM
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Malvern Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
YAT
2 - 3
MAL
35%
21%
44%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
2 - 2
BID
68%
17%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 2
RUG
21%
18%
61%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RUG
5 - 5
MAL
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 1
GLO
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |