Wiltz 71 vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 1
BBM
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UME
0 - 1
WIL
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 1
WIL
18%
20%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
RUM
44%
24%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCR
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
DIF
2 - 2
USH
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
USH
1 - 3
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 2
USH
23%
23%
54%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
USH
2 - 1
ESC
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
USH
1 - 1
FCR
59%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |