Wilmington Hammerheads vs Richmond Kickers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wilmington Hammerheads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PNN
1 - 1
WIL
54%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
CIN
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 0
ORL
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
ROC
28%
29%
43%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Richmond Kickers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 2
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
RIC
0 - 0
CHA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 0
RIC
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 1
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
RIC
1 - 0
ORL
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |