Willy Serrato vs Atlético Minero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
WIL
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
4 - 2
SBO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
LOS
27%
26%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Minero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 1
ATL
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LOS
0 - 2
UNI
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
LOS
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOS
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LOS
0 - 1
LOS
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |