Willisau vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
EMM
2 - 2
WIL
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FCC
0 - 2
WIL
33%
21%
46%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
5 - 1
PER
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
FCS
2 - 5
WIL
47%
20%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 1
IBA
51%
20%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
LUZ
3 - 0
SAR
68%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
0 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
EMM
6 - 2
SAR
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SAR
2 - 2
FCC
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
PER
3 - 0
SAR
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |