Willikies vs Green City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+511%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 2
WIL
52%
20%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 2
WIL
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
HOP
43%
21%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
WIL
3 - 1
OTT
54%
21%
26%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Green City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GRC
1 - 0
SWE
15%
17%
68%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GRC
1 - 0
OTT
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GRC
1 - 0
GSF
13%
17%
70%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PBU
0 - 1
GRC
81%
13%
6%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
GRC
87%
9%
4%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | +1 |