Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
66%
19%
14%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 3
VIT
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 3
TWE
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
59%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VVV
3 - 2
HER
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GRO
2 - 1
VVV
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
4 - 2
BOS
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
VVV
0 - 13
AJA
7%
14%
79%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
2 - 2
VVV
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +2 |