Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 3
FEY
16%
22%
62%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 0
VVV
84%
11%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
1 - 0
RKC
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
1 - 2
VVV
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 2
VVV
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 3
AJA
13%
18%
69%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |