Eredivisie Round 5

Willem II vs Roda JC analysis

Willem II Roda JC
67 ELO 78
14.7% Tilt 1.1%
374º General ELO ranking 953º
13º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
35%
Willem II
26.1%
Draw
38.9%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
Willem II
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.9%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Willem II
-21%
-7%
Roda JC

ELO progression

Willem II
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2007
WIL
Willem II
1 - 3
Twente
TWE
35%
27%
38%
67 81 14 0
01 Sep. 2007
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
77%
15%
8%
67 85 18 0
25 Aug. 2007
WIL
Willem II
2 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
51%
23%
26%
67 67 0 0
17 Aug. 2007
SCH
Heerenveen
0 - 0
Willem II
WIL
68%
19%
13%
68 82 14 -1
29 Apr. 2007
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
16%
21%
63%
67 88 21 +1

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
28%
24%
48%
79 85 6 0
02 Sep. 2007
VVV
VVV Venlo
3 - 5
Roda JC
RJC
34%
27%
38%
78 68 10 +1
24 Aug. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 1
Heracles
HER
64%
22%
15%
78 66 12 0
18 Aug. 2007
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
36%
28%
36%
78 71 7 0
12 May. 2007
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
54%
24%
23%
79 76 3 -1