Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
ZWO
0 - 3
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
0 - 6
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
GRO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 2
RJC
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
RKC
2 - 1
RJC
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |