Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
RJC
4 - 1
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
WIL
1 - 0
BOS
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
WIL
3 - 2
HFC
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1989 |
NEC
2 - 2
BOS
45%
27%
27%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1989 |
GRO
1 - 1
NEC
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1989 |
NEC
3 - 1
HFC
44%
27%
28%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
NEC
1 - 0
FOR
38%
29%
34%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |