Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
WIL
2 - 0
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
BVO
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
RJC
1 - 1
WIL
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
WIL
4 - 1
UTR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
6 - 0
SCH
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
GAE
0 - 0
NAC
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRO
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
VOL
1 - 3
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
RKC
1 - 0
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |