Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
VOL
1 - 1
WIL
50%
22%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 2
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
AJA
28%
21%
51%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
HER
3 - 3
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 1
DVO
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
VVD
1 - 3
NAC
59%
20%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
FCB
1 - 1
NAC
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
NAC
0 - 1
ENS
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
SPA
5 - 5
NAC
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |