Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 0
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
TWE
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 1
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
WIL
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
IJS
0 - 1
SCH
7%
13%
80%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 3
SCH
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |