Willem II vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
BOS
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 0
BOS
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
1 - 3
AZA
34%
24%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 1
RBC
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
GRA
0 - 2
NAC
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
TWE
0 - 0
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 1
SCH
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |