Willem II vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
FCD
51%
22%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 6
TWE
14%
21%
66%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
0 - 1
ZWO
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZWO
1 - 2
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FEY
2 - 0
ZWO
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 4
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UTR
1 - 1
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |