Willem II vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
3 - 0
WIL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 1
VIT
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 1
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRO
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 1
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FEY
3 - 2
UTR
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |