Willem II vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
RJC
3 - 0
WIL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
OMO
2 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TWE
1 - 0
VVV
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
TWE
4 - 1
BUR
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 3
TWE
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
3 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 1
TWE
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |