Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
HIB
1 - 3
WIL
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WIL
2 - 3
ZWO
39%
26%
34%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
SGD
43%
24%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 2
BRU
25%
24%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
GRO
4 - 0
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2017 |
GRO
3 - 3
PSV
14%
19%
67%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |