Willem II vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
WIL
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
VVV
51%
23%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
80%
15%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
TWE
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RJC
4 - 1
GRO
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 0
ZWO
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |