Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 6
HER
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 5
RJC
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
WIL
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
14%
18%
68%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
ADO
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FEY
0 - 1
AZA
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
AZA
3 - 1
VIT
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |